Average simulated month · 2026 H1 · $10,000 book
+14.1%
+$1,413
net per month, simulated
Would a delayed copier, trading at executable prices and realistic size, have made money? Six of six months say yes.
Monthly performance
return on a $10,000 book · 2026
Monthly return
Best month (May)
Three signal books, independently risked
228 simulated fills
Book BActive
Single-wallet conviction
216
A qualified wallet enters fresh at an anomalously large size. This book carries essentially all realized PnL — the working core of the engine.
Book ALimited
Operator consensus
12
Several independent qualified operators converge on one outcome. Fires rarely so far and trades near breakeven — validating, not yet contributing.
Book CDormant
Insider conviction
0
Buys knows-the-outcome entries and holds to resolution. Coded and hard-gated, but has not yet met its bar to fire a single trade.
How to read these numbers
- Results are backtested simulations on a $10,000 book, not live or paper-traded returns.
- Fills use a synthetic depth model where observed order books were absent — real execution on thin markets will differ.
- Fees are modeled at zero; sample sizes are small (1–66 fills per month), so returns are high-variance.
- Capacity is tuned for ~$10k. Copy-trading edge does not scale linearly with size.